Recommendations

Project Type # Outcome Report Year FEC
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey findingThe range and complexity of drivers affecting Arctic terrestrial biodiversity signals the need for comprehensive, integrated, ecosystem-based monitoring programs, coupled with targeted research projects to help decipher causal patterns of change.State of the Arctic Terrestrial Biodiversity: Key Findings and Advice for Monitoring2021
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey findingClimate change is the overwhelming driver of change in terrestrial Arctic ecosystems, causing diverse, unpredictable, and significant impacts that are expected to intensify.State of the Arctic Terrestrial Biodiversity: Key Findings and Advice for Monitoring2021
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey findingMany populations with the poorest population information are those which we suspect are showing the greatest declines.A Global Audit of the Status and Trends of Arctic And Northern Hemisphere Goose Populations2018
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey findingMost estimates derive from total counts of all individuals, 8 populations combine some form of capture-mark-recapture approach (almost exclusively in North America) but 15 populations are based upon expert opinion, mostly in East and Central Asia. Less than half of the estimates for all populations were thought to fall within 10% of the true totals.A Global Audit of the Status and Trends of Arctic And Northern Hemisphere Goose Populations2018
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey findingThis audit suggests that there are between 39.0 and 39.2 million wild geese in the northern hemisphere belonging to 68 populations of 15 species.A Global Audit of the Status and Trends of Arctic And Northern Hemisphere Goose Populations2018
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringAdvice

Vegetation : Monitoring of vegetation is inconsistent, with large gaps in geographical cover. Of the four FECs for monitoring vegetation, the START was able to report on all plants, species of concern, and invasive alien species. Food species were not included as data were too disparate.

  • Investigate causality in vegetation change in the context of ecosystem components, including habitat specific drivers, particularly climate, and emphasize ecosystem-based approaches.
  • Continue and expand in situ time series.
  • Utilize plot-based vegetation surveys to provide insight into vegetation changes and improve the ability to predict environmental change impacts on tundra ecosystems.
  • Better consider the expected impacts of biotic and abiotic drivers on vegetation change when developing monitoring programs and conceptual models.
  • Use regional and global remote-sensing products with higher spatial and temporal resolution.
  • Increase monitoring efforts for all FECs, and target efforts to address data gaps, such as for food species.
State of the Arctic Terrestrial Biodiversity: Key Findings and Advice for Monitoring2021
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringAdvice

Coordination: Improved coordination of monitoring is necessary to implement a comprehensive, integrated, ecosystem-based monitoring program envisioned by the CBMP. Coordination is necessary to help achieve additional advice for monitoring presented in the START.

  • Design statistically rigorous sampling methodologies and protocols.
  • Encourage states to implement the CBMP Terrestrial Plan to secure long-term funding for existing monitoring.
  • CAFF, including the CBMP, should take a coordinating role to follow-up on advice from this report. Specific tasks are found in the CBMP Strategic Plan 2021-2025.
State of the Arctic Terrestrial Biodiversity: Key Findings and Advice for Monitoring2021
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey findingAlthough some trends have been observed, natural variability in Arctic terrestrial environments and large information gaps make it difficult to assess and summarize global trends for Arctic terrestrial biodiversity.State of the Arctic Terrestrial Biodiversity: Key Findings and Advice for Monitoring2021
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey findingTo interpret changes in population size, there is an increasing need to understand whether these are due to shifts in range, changes in reproductive success or changes in annual survival.A Global Audit of the Status and Trends of Arctic And Northern Hemisphere Goose Populations2018
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey findingIn North America, population estimates are good; trends are generally of the best quality and most populations are increasing or stable.A Global Audit of the Status and Trends of Arctic And Northern Hemisphere Goose Populations2018
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey finding“White” geese (Chen) are most numerous (17.2 million individuals of 3 species) and all 6 populations have increased in the last 10 years.A Global Audit of the Status and Trends of Arctic And Northern Hemisphere Goose Populations2018
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringAdvice

Birds: Most bird species are difficult to monitor and attribute change due to the large spatial extent of their breeding habitats and multiple threats throughout flyways. Current monitoring is uneven and inadequate. The START reports on herbivores, insectivores, carnivores, and omnivores.

  • Sustaining long-term monitoring projects is the best opportunity to track changes in FECs and drivers of those changes.
  • Expand monitoring of species and populations with unknown or uncertain trends such as waders in the Central Asian Flyway and East Asian–Australasian Flyway (under the Arctic Migratory Birds Initiative).
  • Improve monitoring coverage of the high Arctic and other areas with poor spatial coverage (i.e., Canadian Arctic Archipelago, Greenland, and eastern Russia), including staging and wintering areas within and outside the Arctic.
  • Adopt new and emerging monitoring technologies, including various tagging devices (for the study of distribution and migration, and identification of critical stopover and wintering sites), bioacoustics (for abundance and diversity sampling), and satellite data (for colony monitoring).
  • Enhance coordination within and among Arctic and non-Arctic states to improve data collection on migratory species and critical site identification across species’ ranges.
  • Harmonize long-term studies to improve the reliability of status and trends assessments, ability to report on FEC attributes (e.g., phenology), and possible effects of environmental change, including risks of phenological mismatch.
  • Use research stations as platforms to increase data coordination, sampling, and analyses, of FECs and drivers, and ensure standardized bird monitoring is part of station mandates where lacking.
  • Strengthen linkages with AMAP to improve contaminant monitoring at different trophic levels and facilitate cooperation on isotope and genetic studies.
State of the Arctic Terrestrial Biodiversity: Key Findings and Advice for Monitoring2021
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringAdvice

Indigenous Knowledge: The CBMP Terrestrial Plan aims to utilize both Indigenous Knowledge and science. Despite efforts, Indigenous Knowledge has not been systematically included in the START. To obtain a full assessment of the status and trends, better understand relationships and changes, and fill key knowledge gaps, there must be improved engagement with Indigenous Knowledge holders, Indigenous governments, and Indigenous monitoring programs not only in development of assessments but in collaboratively building more comprehensive monitoring programs and initiatives.

  • Improve understanding of the research and monitoring priorities of PPs and Indigenous governments, organizations, and Peoples.
  • Develop long-term partnerships between scientists and Indigenous Knowledge holders to co-develop mutually relevant research and monitoring priorities and programs with equitable participation in all stages of monitoring, beginning with research design, and continuing through implementation, analysis, interpretation, and communication of results.
  • Seek guidance on how institutional resources can align with and support existing Indigenous-led monitoring efforts, the development of new Indigenous-led monitoring programs, and Indigenous models of land stewardship that include monitoring components.
  • Consider and articulate the ways in which programs and findings can support Indigenous land stewardship.
  • Support Indigenous-led monitoring capacity through investments in northern-based research, learning and digital infrastructure and by supporting education, employment, and leadership opportunities for Indigenous Peoples.
  • Ensure monitoring agreements detail mechanisms for the protection and responsible use of data and Indigenous Knowledge, including basic principles of data sovereignty.
  • Increase engagement of Indigenous Peoples within CBMP.
  • Work with PPs to develop strategies to more effectively recognize and reflect Indigenous Knowledge in the CBMP.
State of the Arctic Terrestrial Biodiversity: Key Findings and Advice for Monitoring2021
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey findingChanges in culturally important food resources have implications on the food security and cultures of Indigenous Peoples and Arctic residents.State of the Arctic Terrestrial Biodiversity: Key Findings and Advice for Monitoring2021
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey findingThere is a very clear need to establish or expand annual reporting on population size and demographic trends to make such information accessible to decision makers and stakeholders in a timely fashion.A Global Audit of the Status and Trends of Arctic And Northern Hemisphere Goose Populations2018
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey findingIn Central and Eastern Asia, where the greatest declines are suspected, good population estimates and count data series over sufficient long time horizons to offer a robust basis for generating trends are generally lacking, with the notable exception of excellent count data from Korea and Japan. However, the situation is rapidly improving in China, where count networks and coordination with flyway partners are being established.A Global Audit of the Status and Trends of Arctic And Northern Hemisphere Goose Populations2018
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey finding“Grey” geese (Anser) comprise 35 populations of 8.1-8.4 million individuals, of which 15 have declined in the last 10 years, especially in East Asia.A Global Audit of the Status and Trends of Arctic And Northern Hemisphere Goose Populations2018
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringAdvice

Knowledge Gaps : Currently, there is some monitoring for all FECs, but it varies in coverage, duration, frequency and access to institutional support and resources.

  • Expand and coordinate long-term in situ time series across regions and across FECs.
  • Implement ecosystem-based approaches that better monitor and link biological attributes to environmental drivers.
  • Increase partnerships with Indigenous Knowledge holders and organizations.
  • Increase and support contributions from Local Knowledge holders and citizen science.
  • Work with Arctic Council Observer states to collect and compile knowledge on Arctic biodiversity.
  • Improve data collection on rare species and species of concern.
State of the Arctic Terrestrial Biodiversity: Key Findings and Advice for Monitoring2021
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringAdvice

Ecosystem-based Monitoring and Reporting: Monitoring and reporting should encompass all key taxonomic groups and their likely relationships, linking responses to main biotic and abiotic drivers of change.

  • Better coordinate between disciplines and knowledge systems both within and among Arctic states and Indigenous organizations, including experts in abiotic drivers of change (the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Program) and other monitoring initiatives.
  • Promote long-term integrated studies across biomes and taxonomic groups for examining trophic dynamics and other key interactions.
  • Improve integration of factors that underpin changes in phenology, demography, and abundance.
State of the Arctic Terrestrial Biodiversity: Key Findings and Advice for Monitoring2021
CBMP Terrestrial Biodiversity MonitoringKey findingChanging frequency, intensity and timing of extreme and unusual weather events due to climate change are affecting some species, with unknown effects on populations.State of the Arctic Terrestrial Biodiversity: Key Findings and Advice for Monitoring2021
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